As the fragile ceasefire between the United States and Iran enters its third week in April 2026, with Iranian forces seizing ships in the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. maintaining its naval blockade, the conflict—now in its eighth week—continues to ripple far beyond the Persian Gulf. Launched on February 28 with coordinated U.S.-Israeli airstrikes targeting Iranian military sites, nuclear facilities, and senior leadership, the war has already reshaped regional dynamics and exposed deep fissures in the transatlantic security architecture.
Category: Asia-Pacific
Taiwan must Learn the Lessons of the Iran War
The outbreak of war in Iran demonstrates the critical importance of air defence systems, as the country’s leadership was eliminated during the initial strikes and its ability to coordinate defence collapsed within hours. Equally important, the conflict highlights the asymmetric power of drones. Iran used its drone arsenal to strike targets across the Gulf, hitting Bahrain, Kuwait, and Dubai, while Israel’s Iron Dome continued to show the value of a layered defensive architecture, although it also revealed certain limitations
Churchill’s Oil vs. Modi’s LPG: What WW2 tells us about Energy
There is a temptation, watching India’s LPG crisis unfold in March 2026, to invoke the Second World War as a counterpoint, an era when civilisation itself was at stake, yet somehow, fuel still moved, kitchens still burned, and industrial supply chains held together well enough to sustain a global war effort. The comparison is emotionally satisfying. It is also, at first glance, historically plausible. But the data tells a more complicated and ultimately more instructive story
While the Missiles Fall, Beijing Watches and Learns
The public record on China’s response to the Iran war is clear and unremarkable. Since US and Israeli forces launched Operation Epic Fury on February 28, Beijing has condemned the strikes as violations of international law, called for an immediate ceasefire, and dispatched Special Envoy Zhai Jun to the region. It has evacuated over 3,000 Chinese citizens from Iran. Foreign Minister Wang Yi has made calls to counterparts in Russia, Iran, Oman, France, Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE.
The Four Fault Lines the Iran War just Cracked Open in Pakistan
When the United States and Israel launched coordinated strikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, every country in the region was forced to pick a lane. Most found one, if only rhetorically. The Gulf states condemned Iran’s retaliatory missile barrages on their soil. China called for restraint and dispatched an envoy. Turkey blocked use of its airspace. India said nothing, and meant it. Pakistan could not afford to say nothing. And it could not afford to say something.
Was the Sinking of IRIS Dena by the United States a War Crime?
At 5:08 in the morning of March 4, 2026, a distress call crackled out from a position roughly 40 nautical miles south of Galle, Sri Lanka. By the time Sri Lankan naval vessels reached the coordinates, IRIS Dena, an Iranian Moudge-class frigate, commissioned in 2021, carrying approximately 180 sailors had already vanished beneath the Indian Ocean. What remained were spreading oil slicks, floating debris, and men treading water far from shore. The US government later confirmed, with apparent pride, that one of its nuclear-powered attack submarines had fired a single Mark 48 torpedo at the vessel.
Taiwan Didn’t Just Survive Isolation. It Turned it into Leverage
Taiwan sits at the centre of one of the defining geopolitical contests of our time. As the United States and China compete over semiconductors, artificial intelligence and critical supply chains, a self-governed island of 23 million people has become strategically indispensable. Yet Taiwan’s influence was not an accident of geography. It was built deliberately under conditions of diplomatic isolation. Since 1971, when UN General Assembly Resolution 2758 transferred China’s seat from Taipei to Beijing, Taiwan has existed in political ambiguity
How CRINK Actors Weaponised the Venezuelan Raid against the United States
China and Russia have moved swiftly to co-opt the Venezuelan narrative within multilateral forums, particularly the UN Security Council. Both nations backed Venezuela’s request for an urgent Security Council meeting, with China’s UN ambassador having previously stated at a December session that Beijing opposed all acts of unilateralism and bullying, urging Washington to refrain from interfering in Venezuela’s internal affairs. During the January 5 emergency session, Chinese and Russian representatives demanded Maduro’s immediate release while framing the raid as a violation of the UN Charter
India-U.S. Trade: A Strategic Reset in an Uneven Global Economy
In early February 2026, Prime Minister Narendra Modi and U.S. President Donald Trump unveiled an interim framework for a trade agreement, marking an important milestone that goes beyond a simple commercial arrangement: it highlighted a developing economic partnership influenced by both geopolitical factors and market needs. This agreement, which decreases effective tariffs on Indian products entering the American market and enhances reciprocal access, was formulated amid previous trade conflicts and tariff disputes between the two nations
How CRINK Actors are using the Venezuelan Raid to Legitimise Anti-U.S. Norms
On January 3, 2026, United States forces executed Operation Absolute Resolve, a predawn military strike on Caracas that resulted in the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores. The operation, which involved suppressing Venezuela’s air defences and extracting Maduro from his compound within hours, sent shockwaves across the international system. The response from China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea, the adversary coalition often termed CRINK or the Adversary Entente was swift and coordinated. Beijing condemned the move as deeply shocking hegemonic aggression.